If we could see the future, the world
would be a much better place. If a man (or woman) could see the results of his
actions, then how often would politicians pass un-executable laws, or engineers
build useless buildings, or a boss telling you to do something just for you to
have to change it later? My guess is, they wouldn’t. But, foregoing the fact
this world doesn’t exist, the biggest problem with this future seeing is the
same as the problem that the precautionary principle gives us: that it gives
inaction as a viable option for what to do in crises, and puts too much focus
on finding the perfect solution instead of pursuing a doable one. As Shellenberger
and Nordhaus describe the precautionary principle, “long evoked by greens to
argue against any innovation unless it can be proven 100% safe,” a picture is
already being created in my mind of a group of people blathering on about this
possibility and that outcome, with no real solution reached. But life isn’t
breakfast, so no waffles!
Now, I’m a pretty cynical person, but in
this case, I feel my position is well supported. The main concept of the
precautionary principle is that consequences of actions in complex systems are
often unpredictable and irreversible and concludes that such actions should
generally be opposed (Wikipedia, proactionary
principle). Well, surprise, surprise, the era we live in (“late
industrialism”) is characterized by complexity, according to Kim Furtun. Sounds
like this principle isn’t off to a good start. Bruno Latour stated the principle
was created so that “even in the absence of scientific certainty, decisions
could be made.” If this was true, that would be great, but it’s not. Even
Latour acknowledges that its implementation has not been perfect, and I would
argue, doesn’t really help. It still allows inaction to be a possibility. Teddy
Roosevelt has the best way of expressing my feelings on inaction: “In any
moment of decision, the best thing you can do is the right thing, the next best
thing is the wrong thing, and the worst thing you can do is nothing.”
Let me present a walkthrough of the
flaws I find using a personal favorite subject of mine: geoengineering. I don’t
like geoengineering, and I don’t want it to be implemented. People following
the precautionary principle also more than likely don’t want to see
geoengineering implemented. Yeah! We agree. We probably even have the same
reasons for why it shouldn’t be done, in that there is no way of proving that
it is safe without actually falling through with the procedures. The precautionary
principle says that since we don’t know, we will not do anything about until
more knowledge from the scientific community comes in. I think that it is a
stupid idea to go and deliberately mess with the entire earth’s energy system. In my view, geoengineering is off the
table. I don’t want to think about, and I will boldly detract any person who
attempts to champion it towards me. But the proponents of the principle will
stand around like blithering idiots, trusting in the moral superiority of their
Latin oath Primum non nocere: First, do
no harm. I’ll let SpongeBob show why this doesn’t work.
Now then, we need to look for a new
decision making guideline. Unfortunately, there is no “don’t be stupid”
principle. Even if there was, there would still be countless debates over
whether or not it was being implemented correctly or if something should change
about it or pedantic discussions about what “stupid” means. The late Theodore
Roosevelt again lends his voice to what I believe is solid advice: “the only
man who never makes mistakes is the man who never does anything.” So we must
understand that nothing we can do to stop climate change, or increase
biodiversity, or act in any a number of subjects, is going to turn out 100% every
time. It is wishful thinking to believe it will turn out that well anytime. “To
err is to human” as Alexander Pope says, and with those errors comes
responsibility. Latour says to love our monsters, “accepting it as the normal
duty of continuing to care for unwanted consequences”
(emphasis his). So, in essence, the principle I would use is that you go and
make a decision and stick with it, accepting all consequences from your
actions, but never apologizing for being decisive. Mistakes will be made, and
will have to be fixed, but leaders are noted for their decisiveness, and as
such we must start extolling that virtue.
Tl;dr: Go make a decision. Stick to your
guns. Be a (figuratively) man.
I would just like to say, Bubble Buddy was amazing. I also never even considered inaction an option. I would agree that decision makers would get caught up in the red tape and bickering but if something really needed to be, the people (presumably scientists) would probably just end up doing it anyway. In the resulting consequences they would be hailed as having committed treason or heroes I suppose. But there have been so many times when the people in the position of making decisions were so busy twiddling their thumbs that other people took action and they ended up vilified for incompetency (see: 3/11 in Japan).
ReplyDeleteThis is a great post, and it does a great job of saying what could be wrong with the precautionary principle. But if you don't agree with it or the proactionary principle what do you (3rd person plural you) do? We've got to figure something else out. Also thanks for the tldr, although I promise I read it! -Sophia
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